Internet of Events
Leaderboard
Traders
Markets
Hot Bets
Surveillance
Pricing
Log in
Get Access
Accrue
/
Home
/
Manifold Markets
/
Will there be an LLM which scores above what a human can do in 2 hours on METR's eval suite before 2026?
Manifold
Resolved: YES
BINARY · cpmm-1
Will there be an LLM which scores above what a human can do in 2 hours on METR's eval suite before 2026?
Yes
91%
Yes Pool
$31
No Pool
$322
Resolution
YES
