What is the probability for "Will there be a US rail workers Strike or Lockout resulting in work stoppage by union employees for over 12 hours by end of December 2022?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 14 traders and $17K in volume.

Will there be a US rail workers Strike or Lockout resulting in work stoppage by union employees for over 12 hours by end of December 2022?

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