What is the probability for "Will there be a US rail workers Strike or Lockout resulting in work stoppage by union employees for over 12 hours by end of November 2022?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 7 traders and $2K in volume.

Will there be a US rail workers Strike or Lockout resulting in work stoppage by union employees for over 12 hours by end of November 2022?

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