What is the probability for "Will there be a SHOCKING UPSET at the Oscars? (Winner

The current market probability is 60% with 31 traders and $7K in volume.

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be a SHOCKING UPSET at the Oscars? (Winner <10%, according to Manifold)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 60% with 31 traders and $7K in volume.

Will there be a SHOCKING UPSET at the Oscars? (Winner <10%, according to Manifold)