What is the probability for "Will there be a serious incident involving leakage of radioactive material at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant during 2022?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 25 traders and $2K in volume.

Will there be a serious incident involving leakage of radioactive material at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant during 2022?

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