What is the probability for "Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2025 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 8 traders and $2K in volume.

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2025 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

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