What is the probability for "Will there be a master's league in 2025 with no whales (mana net worth 1 million mana)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be a master's league in 2025 with no whales (mana net worth > 1 million mana)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 5 traders and $926 in volume.

Will there be a master's league in 2025 with no whales (mana net worth > 1 million mana)?