What is the probability for "Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 231 traders and $212K in volume.

Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

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