What is the probability for "Will there be a 8.93% one day drop in the S&P 500 during 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be a >8.93% one day drop in the S&P 500 during 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 0% with 27 traders and $16K in volume.

Will there be a >8.93% one day drop in the S&P 500 during 2023?