What is the probability for "Will there be =86,000 confirmed cases of Mpox (monkeypox) worldwide by mid February 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be >=86,000 confirmed cases of Mpox (monkeypox) worldwide by mid February 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 16 traders and $9K in volume.

Will there be >=86,000 confirmed cases of Mpox (monkeypox) worldwide by mid February 2023?