What is the probability for "Will there be =84,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of Jan 10 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be >=84,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of Jan 10 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 25% with 58 traders and $14K in volume.

Will there be >=84,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of Jan 10 2023?