What is the probability for "Will there be 20% semiconductor-specific tariffs lasting over a month by the end of 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be >20% semiconductor-specific tariffs lasting over a month by the end of 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 42 traders and $129K in volume.

Will there be >20% semiconductor-specific tariffs lasting over a month by the end of 2025?