What is the probability for "Will the USA create a moral quagmire for itself in the levant on the scale of the 2nd Iraq War in the next 60/days?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 5% with 16 traders and $3K in volume.

Will the USA create a moral quagmire for itself in the levant on the scale of the 2nd Iraq War in the next 60/days?

Resolution