What is the probability for "Will the US raise top capital gains tax rate to 40%, with 15% unrealized capital gains tax, by EOY 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the US raise top capital gains tax rate to > 40%, with >15% unrealized capital gains tax, by EOY 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 11 traders and $1K in volume.