What is the probability for "Will the US be "back on the right track" by Christmas? [RCP Polling 30%]" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the US be "back on the right track" by Christmas? [RCP Polling > 30%]" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 12 traders and $2K in volume.

Will the US be "back on the right track" by Christmas? [RCP Polling > 30%]