What is the probability for "Will the US attempt to seize or carry out a major strike on the oil infrastructure on Kharg Island before April 15, 2026" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 6% with 37 traders and $2K in volume.

Will the US attempt to seize or carry out a major strike on the oil infrastructure on Kharg Island before April 15, 2026

Resolution