What is the probability for "Will the Twitter/X app consistently default to the "Following" tab for me at the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the Twitter/X app consistently default  to the "Following" tab for me at the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 8% with 3 traders and $196 in volume.

Will the Twitter/X app consistently default to the "Following" tab for me at the end of 2023?