What is the probability for "Will "Tortured Poets Department" outsell "1989 (Taylor's Version)" during its first week? (1.653M units)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will "Tortured Poets Department" outsell "1989 (Taylor's Version)" during its first week? (>1.653M units)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 14 traders and $4K in volume.

Will "Tortured Poets Department" outsell "1989 (Taylor's Version)" during its first week? (>1.653M units)