What is the probability for "Will the Sudan Liberation Front (SLM, JEM, SLM-N) renege on the JPA and seek sovereignty in their respective area of operations by April 28, 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 94% with 10 traders and $782 in volume.

Will the Sudan Liberation Front (SLM, JEM, SLM-N) renege on the JPA and seek sovereignty in their respective area of operations by April 28, 2023?

Resolution