What is the probability for "Will the S&P 500 index close higher on Jan. 12 than it closed on Jan 5 (4697.24)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the  S&P 500 index close higher on Jan.  12 than it closed on Jan  5 (4697.24)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 10 traders and $773 in volume.

Will the S&P 500 index close higher on Jan. 12 than it closed on Jan 5 (4697.24)?