What is the probability for "Will the Rapamycin - Effects on Alzheimer's and Cognitive Health (REACH) trial show that Rapamycin improves Alzheimer's" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 25% with 8 traders and $137 in volume.

Will the Rapamycin - Effects on Alzheimer's and Cognitive Health (REACH) trial show that Rapamycin improves Alzheimer's

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