Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will the Polar Bear (Ursus maritimus) become extinct in the current century?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Will the Polar Bear (Ursus maritimus) become extinct in the current century?

Yes19%

Yes Pool

$1K

No Pool

$211

Probability

19%

Volume$921

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$500

Traders19

CreatorConservationForecasts

ClosesDec 31, 2099

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use