What is the probability for "Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of =80% at the end of May 2024? (overall 12-month average)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=80% at the end of May 2024? (overall 12-month average)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 15 traders and $7K in volume.

Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=80% at the end of May 2024? (overall 12-month average)

Resolution