What is the probability for "Will the mean answers get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 22% with 11 traders and $601 in volume.

Will the mean answers get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?

Resolution