What is the probability for "Will the Mastodon social network report 1.8 million "last 6 months active users" in 2022?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the Mastodon social network report >1.8 million "last 6 months active users" in 2022?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 83% with 7 traders and $278 in volume.

Will the Mastodon social network report >1.8 million "last 6 months active users" in 2022?