What is the probability for "Will the Manifold Markets iPhone app have a rating 4.5 stars by January 1st, 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the Manifold Markets iPhone app have a rating >4.5 stars by January 1st, 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 14 traders and $2K in volume.

Will the Manifold Markets iPhone app have a rating >4.5 stars by January 1st, 2023?