What is the probability for "Will the main finding of study 1 from “Relational diversity in social portfolios predicts well-being” in PNAS replicate?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 52% with 7 traders and $108 in volume.

Will the main finding of study 1 from “Relational diversity in social portfolios predicts well-being” in PNAS replicate?

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