What is the probability for "Will the largest Llama 3 have 500B TOTAL parameters?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the largest Llama 3 have> 500B TOTAL parameters?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 29 traders and $6K in volume.

Will the largest Llama 3 have> 500B TOTAL parameters?