What is the probability for "Will the Future Fund pay a prize for p(AGI before 2100)

The current market probability is 1% with 19 traders and $6K in volume.

Question

What is the probability for "Will the Future Fund pay a prize for p(AGI before 2100) < 30%?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 19 traders and $6K in volume.

Will the Future Fund pay a prize for p(AGI before 2100) < 30%?