What is the probability for "Will the first two players to reach 200m Sailing experience in Oldschool Runescape do so within a week of each other?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 16 traders and $1K in volume.

Will the first two players to reach 200m Sailing experience in Oldschool Runescape do so within a week of each other?

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