What is the probability for "Will the fine (~USD 4 million) imposed to Bolsonaro's party (PL) for contesting the election results without presenting evidence be paid?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 93% with 7 traders and $765 in volume.

Will the fine (~USD 4 million) imposed to Bolsonaro's party (PL) for contesting the election results without presenting evidence be paid?

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