What is the probability for "Will the FAA issue SpaceX a license before the end of 2024 that authorises multiple Starship–SuperHeavy launches?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 83% with 11 traders and $819 in volume.

Will the FAA issue SpaceX a license before the end of 2024 that authorises multiple Starship–SuperHeavy launches?

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