What is the probability for "Will the DA get more or less than its 2019 share of the vote (20.77%) in the 2024 South African general election" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 4 traders and $236 in volume.

Will the DA get more or less than its 2019 share of the vote (20.77%) in the 2024 South African general election

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