What is the probability for "Will the California Sunset Earrings be sold at, or above, their upper estimate of $12m at auction on 6 December, 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 6% with 4 traders and $340 in volume.

Will the California Sunset Earrings be sold at, or above, their upper estimate of $12m at auction on 6 December, 2023?

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