What is the probability for "Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 20% with 2 traders and $7 in volume.

Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Resolution