What is the probability for "Will the 5 year trend from 2020-2025 in CA wildfire acreage be downward" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will the 5 year trend from 2020->2025 in CA wildfire acreage be downward" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 84% with 12 traders and $412 in volume.

Will the 5 year trend from 2020->2025 in CA wildfire acreage be downward