What is the probability for "Will the 120 Star World Record in Super Mario 64 speedrunning be under 1 hour and 36 minutes before the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 14 traders and $13K in volume.

Will the 120 Star World Record in Super Mario 64 speedrunning be under 1 hour and 36 minutes before the end of 2024?

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