What is the probability for "Will Tesla(NASDAQ(TSLA)) have a significant drawdown (40%) in 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Tesla(NASDAQ(TSLA)) have a significant drawdown (>40%) in 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 22 traders and $17K in volume.

Will Tesla(NASDAQ(TSLA)) have a significant drawdown (>40%) in 2025?