What is the probability for "Will Tesla TSLA reach $275 before Trump announces his vice president running mate?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Tesla TSLA reach >$275 before Trump announces his vice president running mate?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 13 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Tesla TSLA reach >$275 before Trump announces his vice president running mate?