What is the probability for "Will Tesla TSLA reach $275 before Biden drops from the election?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Tesla TSLA reach >$275 before Biden drops from the election?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 12 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Tesla TSLA reach >$275 before Biden drops from the election?