What is the probability for "Will Tesla launch a new auto insurance market in the US before April 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Tesla launch a new auto insurance market in the US  before April 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 5 traders and $899 in volume.

Will Tesla launch a new auto insurance market in the US before April 2024?