What is the probability for "Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to 500k patients in 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to >500k patients in 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 31% with 9 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to >500k patients in 2025?