What is the probability for "Will Steven Spielberg win the Best Director Oscar for his work on 'The Fabelmans' at the 95th Academy Awards?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 0% with 15 traders and $14K in volume.

Will Steven Spielberg win the Best Director Oscar for his work on 'The Fabelmans' at the 95th Academy Awards?

Resolution