What is the probability for "Will Stephen Hsu (@stevehsu) be nominated to Ambassador of the USA to the People's Republic of China by EOY2029?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 45% with 1 traders and $10 in volume.

Will Stephen Hsu (@stevehsu) be nominated to Ambassador of the USA to the People's Republic of China by EOY2029?

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