What is the probability for "Will S&P 500 increase by more than 15% from today's price at any point by the end of April (1 April 2022 - 4,545.86)?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 8 traders and $1K in volume.

Will S&P 500 increase by more than 15% from today's price at any point by the end of April (1 April 2022 - 4,545.86)?

Resolution