What is the probability for "Will Southwest flight 300 from Denver to Reno on 2023-08-12 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Southwest flight 300 from Denver to Reno on 2023-08-12 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 8% with 0 traders and $1 in volume.

Will Southwest flight 300 from Denver to Reno on 2023-08-12 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

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