What is the probability for "Will somebody (other than Spencer) steal Spencer's socks between 6:30 pm and 9:30 pm on February 24, 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 5 traders and $1K in volume.

Will somebody (other than Spencer) steal Spencer's socks between 6:30 pm and 9:30 pm on February 24, 2024?