What is the probability for "Will SMTM potato diet finishers still be down 5lbs on average after 6 months?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will SMTM potato diet finishers still be down >5lbs on average after 6 months?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 57 traders and $9K in volume.

Will SMTM potato diet finishers still be down >5lbs on average after 6 months?