What is the probability for "Will Sheikh Jassim Bin Hamad Al Thani acquire 50% of Manchester United by the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Sheikh Jassim Bin Hamad Al Thani acquire > 50% of Manchester United by the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 5% with 6 traders and $530 in volume.

Will Sheikh Jassim Bin Hamad Al Thani acquire > 50% of Manchester United by the end of 2023?