What is the probability for "Will Sen. Robert Casey (D-Pa) defeat challenger David McCormick (R-Pa) in the Pennsylvania Senate race (November 2024)?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 17 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Sen. Robert Casey (D-Pa) defeat challenger David McCormick (R-Pa) in the Pennsylvania Senate race (November 2024)?

Resolution